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Not an estimate, not a projection — a real trade-body survey number. And clothing wasn't even the biggest category.

TL;DR
₹6.05 lakh crore isn't a marketing projection — it's the real, measured total for India's 2025 Diwali retail season, up a genuine 25% from roughly ₹4.8 lakh crore the year before. Separately, the Confederation of All India Traders ran its own nationwide survey covering the Navratri-to-Diwali window specifically, and came back with ₹5.4 lakh crore in goods sales plus another ₹65,000 crore in services — with 72% of surveyed traders reporting genuinely higher sales volumes than the year before, not just optimism.
Because they're measuring slightly different windows and slightly different scopes — one covers the full Diwali retail season broadly, the other specifically tracks the Navratri-through-Diwali trader period through CAIT's own member network. Both are real, both are large, and the direction agrees completely: genuine, double-digit growth, corroborated by two independent measurement methods rather than one press release repeating a single number.
Here's the honest, slightly less flattering fact for anyone in fashion: apparel wasn't the top Diwali spending category. Food and groceries took the largest share at 12%, with gold and jewelry close behind at 10%, and electronics at 8%. That said, the Retailers Association of India separately reported real 9% apparel growth during the broader festive window, with footwear growing even faster at 12%. Clothing is a real, growing part of the festive spend — just not the single biggest line item, and knowing that changes how a shirt brand should think about festive marketing: less biggest-category, more reliable-growing-category people plan around.
CAIT's survey attributed a meaningful share of the 25% turnover jump to GST rate cuts specifically applied across daily-use consumer categories — confectionery, home decor, footwear, ready-made garments, consumer durables. Lower effective prices on exactly the categories people buy during festive season is a direct, traceable mechanism for real growth, not just consumer sentiment or a good year.
Diwali alone accounts for 60–65% of India's entire annual gifting spend — meaning if a customer is going to buy a shirt as a gift at any point in the year, the highest odds by far are during this specific window. That's not a reason to panic-discount everything in October; it's a reason to have genuinely gift-appropriate product — richer fabrics, better packaging, clear sizing — ready before the season starts, not scrambled together once it's already underway.
Quick Q&A
Speeding up, based on real data — 25% year-over-year growth in 2025 is a genuine acceleration, not a plateau.
No, CAIT attributes only primarily a share of the growth to GST cuts — consumer confidence and the vocal-for-local shift are cited as separate, real contributing factors.
Genuinely strong (9% growth, footwear 12%) — just not the single largest spending category, which sits with food and jewelry instead.
Shirting built the way this piece talks about — in-house, Gandhi Nagar.
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